NCEAS Working Groups
Climate change and invasive species: Are non-natives poised for greater success in future climatic conditions?
Project Description
Climate change and biological invasions are two of the greatest threats to the Earth’s species. Both climate change and invasions have, individually, caused population declines and local extinctions. In addition, recent studies suggest that some non-native species may ‘do better’ than native species as the climate changes. As a group composed of scientists studying aquatic, marine, and terrestrial ecosystems, we are working together to synthesize a broad body of research on non-native and native species’ responses to changing environmental conditions. Our goal is to better understand whether, overall, non-native species will be favored by climate change at the expense of native species. Therefore, the combined research will be incorporated into computer models to predict alterations in the distributions of non-native species, in order to yield predictions of species and locations that are particularly at risk of increased species invasions as the climate changes. Our results will substantially improve the quality of information available for invasive species management decisions.

Principal Investigator(s)
Cascade Sorte, Jeffrey S. Dukes, Joshua J. Lawler
Project Dates
Start: December 1, 2010
End: February 24, 2012
completed
Participants
- Dana M. Blumenthal
- USDA Agricultural Research Service (ARS)
- Bethany A. Bradley
- University of Massachusetts
- Carla M. D'Antonio
- University of California, Santa Barbara
- Jeffrey M. Diez
- University of Michigan
- Jeffrey S. Dukes
- Purdue University
- Regan I. Early
- Universidade de Évora
- Edwin D. Grosholz
- University of California, Davis
- Inés Ibañez
- University of Michigan
- Sierra J. Jones
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
- Joshua J. Lawler
- University of Washington
- Luke P. Miller
- Northeastern University Marine Science Institute
- Nicole A. Molinari
- University of California, Santa Barbara
- Julian D. Olden
- University of Washington
- Cascade Sorte
- University of Massachusetts
- Wilfried Thuiller
- Université Joseph Fourier
Products
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Journal Article / 2011
Global change, global trade, and the next wave of plant invasions
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Data Set / 2012
Global change, global trade, and the next wave of plant invasions: Data
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Presentations / 2013
How far from equilibrium are non-native plants? Implication for modeling invasion risk
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Journal Article / 2015
Space to invade? Comparative range infilling and potential range of invasive an native plants
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Journal Article / 2012
Will extreme climatic events facilitate biological invasions?
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Journal Article / 2016
Global threats from invasive alien species in the twenty-first century and national response capacities
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Journal Article / 2014
Integrated assessment of biological invasions
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Presentations / 2012
Poised to prosper: Do demographic outcomes favor non-native species in a changing climate?
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Journal Article / 2013
Poised to prosper? A cross-system comparison of climate change effects on native and non-native species performance