GEI: Shifts in distributions and movement patterns of Coastal Migratory Pelagic Fish species in the Gulf of Mexico relative to climate change

This proposal addresses the needs of managers of Coastal Migratory Pelagic Fish species in the Gulf of Mexico by evaluating how changing environmental variables affect migratory patterns of these species. These fish are among the most economically important particularly in the Gulf of Mexico where approximately 1,500 species reside, several of which are also imperiled. We have access to unique, long-term datasets that include mark-recapture and telemetry data for several species. We propose to use a Species Distribution Model to quantify the species-environment relationship for Coastal Migratory Pelagic Fish. In addition, we will conduct more intensive analyses (e.g., mark-recapture modeling and habitat suitability modeling) focusing on cobia (Rachycentron canadum) as a representative species. This will elucidate more fine-scale variations in movement patterns over a decadal timescale as we hold an extensive dataset for cobia. The data synthesis and analysis will be a collaborative effort by our diverse set of working group members that includes managers, scientists, modelers, data analysts, and stakeholders and can be applied to other species of interest. Results will be shared through presentations at conferences and workshops, peer-reviewed publications, and reports.