National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis

NCEAS Working Groups

Spatial ecology of infectious disease

Project Description

The ecology of infectious diseases is receiving increased attention from both public health officials and traditional population biologists. It is clear that the ability to predict and forecast disease outbreaks will require a greater understanding of spatial dynamics and the analysis of spatial patterns of spread. The goal of this Working Group is to analyze large spatial data sets of disease occurrence and spread drawn from natural, agricultural, and public health databases. By comparing the spatial ecology of disease across these different systems we hope to arrive at some basic generalizations about spatially-dependent disease dynamics.

Principal Investigator(s)

Leslie A. Real, Andrew P. Dobson

Project Dates

Start: September 1, 1999

End: March 29, 2002

completed

Participants

Ottar N. Bjornstad
Pennsylvania State University
Jeremy J. Burdon
Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO)
James E. Childs
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Andrew P. Dobson
Princeton University
Gregory E. Glass
Johns Hopkins University
Brett Goodwin
Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies
Bryan T. Grenfell
University of Cambridge
Drew Harvell
Unknown
Andrew S. Hopkins
APHL-NCID/CDC
Brendan Lucey
Emory University
Kenneth McGwire
Desert Research Institute
James N. Mills
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Richard S. Ostfeld
Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies
Mercedes Pascual
University of Maryland
Alison G. Power
Cornell University
Leslie A. Real
Emory University
Shane A. Richards
University of California, Santa Barbara
David L. Smith
University of Maryland School of Medicine
Jonathan Swinton
University of Cambridge
Kent Wagoner
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Lance Waller
Emory University
Mark L. Wilson
University of Michigan

Products

  1. Journal Article / 2000

    Predicting the local dynamics of epizootic rabies among raccoons in the United States

    Access Product
  2. Journal Article / 2001

    Rabies epizootics among raccoons vary along a north-south gradient in the eastern United States

    Access Product
  3. Journal Article / 2001

    Spatiotemporal variation in a Lyme disease host and vector: Black-legged ticks on white-footed mice

    Access Product
  4. Journal Article / 2004

    Temporal dynamics of rabies in a wildlife host and the risk of cross-species transmission

    Access Product
  5. Journal Article / 2002

    Spatiotemporal analysis of epizootic raccoon rabies propagation in Connecticut, 1991-1995

    Access Product
  6. Journal Article / 2004

    A priori prediction of disease invasion dynamics in a novel environment

    Access Product
  7. Journal Article / 2002

    Predicting the spatial dynamics of rabies epidemics on heterogeneous landscapes

    Access Product
  8. Journal Article / 2003

    Monte Carlo assessments of goodness-of-fit for ecological simulation models

    Access Product